HVAC & Ventilation

Heat pump vs. gas furnace — the operating-cost break-even

A gas furnace’s yearly cost barely moves with the electric rate; a heat pump’s rises with it. They cross near 16¢/kWh (gas ~$1.48/therm, COP 3.0): cheaper electricity favors the heat pump, expensive electricity favors gas. Propane and oil sit far above both.

Source: EIA fuel prices; DOE (heat-pump COP). ~50 MMBtu seasonal load
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What this diagram shows

A line chart of annual heating cost versus electricity price for a ~1,800 sq ft home. A gas furnace is a nearly flat line at about $780 a year. A heat pump at seasonal COP 3.0 is a rising line — about $585 at 12¢/kWh and $830 at 17¢/kWh — that crosses the furnace line at the break-even, roughly 16¢/kWh. Left of the crossover, shaded green, the heat pump is cheaper; right of it, shaded amber, the gas furnace is cheaper. A dashed reference line shows propane or oil furnaces at about $1,500 a year, far above both, which is why heat pumps save the most for those homes.

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Heat Pump Vs Furnace

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